View more on these topics

UK heading for a technical recession

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research has warned that the UK economy is set to enter recession in the first half of this year.

The thinktank says it expects the economy to shrink by 0.1 per cent this year and has called on the Government to temporarily ease spending cuts to promote growth.

A recession is traditionally defined by an economy recording two consecutive quarter of economic contraction. Official figures in January showed the UK economy shrank by 0.2 per cent in the final quarter of 2011.

NIESR says:”We forecast a return to technical recession in the first half of this year, as households continue to retrench, credit conditions remain tight and businesses are reluctant to invest, given uncertainty about both domestic and foreign demand.”

It expects the UK economy to grow by 2.3 per cent in 2013.

Jonathan Davis Wealth Management managing director Jonathan Davis says: “As far as I am concerned, we are in recession now. We will have not much more than 1 per cent annual growth at best over the next 20 years. We remain in a long-term bear market for property and we continue to be in a long-term bull market for bonds.”

Recommended

Advisers urge Scot Wids to focus on CI and IP innovation

Protection advisers have urged Scottish Widows to focus on developing new critical illness and income protection products after it announced plans to re-enter the IFA protection and annuity spaces. Currently, Widows offers a protection plan through its direct channels, from which customers have a choice of options including term life cover, critical illness and whole […]

1

Senior Tory’s legal warning on regulators

The Financial Services Bill does not give clear legal backing to the regulators’ new judgement-based approach, according to Conservative MP Peter Lilley, who chaired the joint committee scrutinising the draft bill. Speaking in a debate on the bill in the House of Commons this week, Lilley called on the Chancellor to deal with his committee’s […]

Cash on delivery

The economic outlook means dividends are providing an even greater portion of total return on equities. Gregor Watt reports

Newsletter

News and expert analysis straight to your inbox

Sign up

Comments

    Leave a comment