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Why Newton is going against the grain

With stock markets reaching new highs, many financial commentators share a common belief – global economies are on the road to recovery. Newton’s view of the world, however, is very different. For them, the upturn has been driven by government and central bank policy across the globe, rather than from any real economic recovery. They […]

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Is Shell/BG merger a catalyst event or natural market evolution?

The £47bn merger of Royal Dutch Shell with BG Group could be one of the biggest of the past 10 years, with the resulting company having a value of more than £200bn.  If the deal goes through, the combined company would be worth 9 per cent of the FTSE 100 and around 7.5 per cent of […]

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Graphic content – May; UK economic data has finally turned for the worse

In June 2016, immediately before the Brexit referendum, a curious thing happened. Despite the colossal uncertainty facing the UK, economic data actually started to come in above consensus forecasts. Citi’s economic surprise index nudged into positive territory, which meant that UK economic data had on the whole outperformed consensus forecasts over the prior three months. […]

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