Economy

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Is property heading for a fall?

The Queen’s Speech last month saw the next step in the Conservative pledge to expand the Right-to-Buy scheme. But there are concerns the move could compound the UK’s housing crisis and put pressure on property investing returns. The Tory pledge will see the right to buy homes at a discount extended to social housing tenants, […]

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Investment analysis: Are we seeing a strange new world for the bond market?

The combination of low inflation growth and excess liquidity following the ECB’s quantitative easing programme has distorted bond valuations, with some short-duration instruments now offering negative returns. At the beginning of March nearly $3.85trn (£2.56trn) or 17 per cent of developed market global government bonds traded at negative yields, according to Columbia Threadneedle Investments. In […]

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Mark Dampier: Going against the grain

With stock markets reaching new highs, many financial commentators share a common belief – global economies are on the road to recovery. Newton’s view of the world, however, is very different. For them, the upturn has been driven by government and central bank policy across the globe, rather than from any real economic recovery. They […]

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Tesco posts record loss of £6.4bn

Tesco has posted a record loss of £6.4bn, one of the biggest losses outside of banking in British corporate history. In its annual results, published today, the supermarket group revealed it made a pre-tax loss of £6.38bn in the year to the end of February, compared with a pre-tax profit of £2.3bn the previous year. […]

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UK economy ‘to grow 2.8% in 2015’

The UK economy will take uncertainty created by the general election “in its stride” and grow 2.8 per cent this year, the EY ITEM Club says. The consultancy’s spring forecast, which uses HM Treasury’s economic modeling, predicts gross domestic product will hit 2.8 per cent this year and 3 per cent in 2016. This is […]

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John Chatfeild-Roberts: The oil price play has many more acts to run

It is easy to be wise after the event but given the ending of quantitative easing by the US Federal Reserve last year (and therefore no more extra dollars being “printed”) simple economic theory would predict that the price of something no longer in excess supply should rise. And it did! From the end of […]

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Brian Tora: Is the market pricing in future risks properly?

With the general election campaign now in full swing, our domestic market is displaying the sort of nervousness that might be expected when the final outcome is so uncertain. Building a base above 7,000 for the FTSE 100 is now looking a tough challenge. While the success or otherwise of the majority of those companies […]

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IMF knocks back Greek hopes of loan extension

The International Monetary Fund has rejected requests from Greece to extend the deadlines on loan repayments, according to reports. IMF managing director Christine Lagarde said yesterday that Greek ministers should instead focus on restructuring the debt-ridden nation’s economy rather than seeking an extension, the Wall Street Journal reports. “It’s clearly not a course of action […]

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Mark Barnett: The hunt is on for resilient companies

With political uncertainty high on the agenda, my focus is to find companies that can be resilient across many different macro-economic outcomes. Resilient in as much as whilst the shares may fall out of favour with the stockmarket for a period, the company itself has the management team and business model in place to enable […]

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Investment analysis: What’s next for the ‘triple zero’ eurozone economy?

The eurozone is breathing easier these days thanks to the European Central Bank’s quantitative easing programme. The central bank raised this year’s Eurozone growth forecast to 1.5 per cent up from 1 per cent previously. Eurozone consumer prices fell by 0.1 per cent in March 2015 from a year earlier, suggesting that fears of continued deflation […]

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Does FTSE 100 landmark mean index has hit its peak?

After spending months flirting with the 7,000 barrier, the FTSE 100 finally toppled over the threshold on 19 March. Since then the market has tumbled, however, closing at less than 6,900 on 26 March. So is the meteoric rise of the FTSE now over? Or does an environment of record low interest rates, zero inflation […]

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Losing patience: Has the market overreacted to Fed interest rate shift?

While the UK was waiting for Chancellor George Osborne to give his much-anticipated Budget speech, in the US the Federal Reserve was deciding on its next move on interest rates. The US Central bank surprised the markets when it dropped its commitment to be “patient” when considering interest rate increases, while also signalling it is […]