The world seems to have stopped for everything other than war. We have entered new political territory, with the Tories more likely to man the barricades than most of Tony Blair's own troops.
The announcement that the Budget will again take place in April makes some sense in terms of strategic planning on the battlefield but will not help the strategic planning of most financial planners right now.
Last year, the Budget was also put back until April following the tragic events that led to Chancellor Gordon Brown's absence from the Treasury in January. So, this will be the second year that the Budget has been delayed significantly – at a time when consumers and financial providers are looking for some real Government action on a raft of issues, including pensions, tax credits on Isas and insurance company solvency.
Meanwhile, financial services businesses are making no new product plans and investors continue to sit on their hands.
This is more than unfortunate. At the end of January, the FSA highlighted a number of risks associated with depressed markets. Managing director Carol Sergeant said: “The year ahead should be one of modest recovery but there are considerable uncertainties and plenty of reasons for caution at a time when consumers look financially stretched and some sectors have seen their profitability and capital reserves reduce markedly.”
That statement from the FSA indicated a degree of considerable concern. Moreover, a continued progression towards war has done nothing other than ensure there is stasis in the reactions of financial markets as well as consumers.
What is called for is clear. November's pre-Budget report indicated the major ideas. The Chancellor posted his thinking on reduced growth rates. He articulated the need to borrow. He even talked about the development of savings policies, with signals that the child trust fund is being developed cautiously over the coming months.
Much of the detail from the November statement is now being developed by officials at the Treasury, Inland Revenue, Customs & Excise and the FSA.
As I remember, it was Norman Lamont, the then Conservative Chancellor, who developed the idea of a Green Budget in the early 1990s. The event has moved on considerably since then to become a detailed statement of economic prospects and a clear indication of policy.
So, the question must be put – do we still need a March Budget? Is there any need for anything other than a series of operational statements or orders laid before both Houses of Parliament?
Sure, the traditional Budget is a Parliamentary event that has become firmly fixed in the nation's gaze. However, there is now significant precedent for abandoning the ritual.
Since the beginning of this year, Leader of the House Robin Cook has implemented a new Parliamentary schedule that has met with much internal debate. MPs either love or hate Parliamentary sessions which begin at 9.30am and end in the early evening. Some believe outside careers help form more rounded political views, offering the legislature a sense of the professions, commerce and other wider interests – a view which I share.
But let's face it, the mystery of the annual Budget box is becoming less of a surprise every year. Such is the nature of modern politics that much of the contents of Brown's shiny new despatch box are already market-tested in the financial pages weeks in advance of the Budget speech.
As far as the Inland Revenue and Customs and Excise are concerned, many of the traditional moves on individual and corporate taxation could be announced in a simple statement.
Overall, it makes sense in terms of financial planning for the pre-Budget report in November to become the main Budget statement. The Chancellor can still parade his team and his shiny red box but also give financial planners, both personal and corporate, the opportunity to plan sensibly before the end of the tax year.
But uncertainty remains. Of course, the Chancellor has said there is virtually an open chequebook for the war in Iraq. He said: “The international community must not stand by while a regime that proliferates weapons of mass destruction defies more than a decade's international agreements.”
Given lower growth and the consequent need to borrow, this is having a significant effect on the public purse and, therefore, many of Brown's calculations must be in constant flux.
However, there is a danger that while we remain in a state of stasis on policy, individuals and business will continue to delay decisions and market drift will intensify.
Let us move the Budget once and for all to November. You never know, having just one Budget a year might even save the taxpayer some money. Now that would be prudence.
Iain Anderson is a director and chief corporate counsel at Cicero Consulting